Knoww
Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
The Field
5 of 21§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see 840-879 as the leading outcome, at a 21% probability across 32 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 2 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $194.82K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- 840-879 (21%)
- Volume
- $194.82K
- Liquidity
- $143.20K
- Resolution date
- October 1, 2026
- Outcomes
- 32
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.