Knoww
Eurovision Winner 2026
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Bulgaria was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $193.91M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Bulgaria (100%)
- Volume
- $193.91M
- Resolution date
- May 16, 2026
- Outcomes
- 50
- Last updated
- August 13, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.