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GTA VI released by...?
The Field
3§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see November 30 as the leading outcome, at a 94% probability across 3 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 1 percentage point. The market has traded approximately $150.86K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- November 30 (94%)
- Volume
- $150.86K
- Liquidity
- $83.69K
- Resolution date
- December 1, 2026
- Outcomes
- 3
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.