Markets/Culture/Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

$17.78MVolJan 828 mkts2 months leftNeg Risk

The Field

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§ Market context

About this market

Traders currently see Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the leading outcome, at a 93% probability across 28 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $17.78M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 8, 2027.

Status
Live trading
Leading outcome
Spider-Man: Brand New Day (93%)
Volume
$17.78M
Liquidity
$2.37M
Resolution date
January 8, 2027
Outcomes
28
Last updated
October 25, 2026

Rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.