Knoww
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
The Field
5 of 7§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see 22–23 as the leading outcome, at a 36% probability across 7 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 3 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $708.65K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- 22–23 (36%)
- Volume
- $708.65K
- Liquidity
- $116.89K
- Resolution date
- November 4, 2026
- Outcomes
- 7
- Last updated
- October 25, 2026
Rules and resolution
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.