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Ireland Presidential Election
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Catherine Connolly was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $152.03M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Catherine Connolly (100%)
- Volume
- $152.03M
- Resolution date
- November 11, 2025
- Outcomes
- 29
- Last updated
- January 12, 2026
Rules and resolution
The 2025 Irish presidential election must take place by Tuesday, 11 November 2025. This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Irish presidential election. If the result of this election isn't known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the he Irish Government, specifically the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.