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Junior Eurovision Winner 2026
The Field
5 of 18§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Armenia as the leading outcome, at a 77% probability across 34 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 34 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $152.28K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by August 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Armenia (77%)
- Volume
- $152.28K
- Liquidity
- $22.47K
- Resolution date
- August 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 34
- Last updated
- October 24, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Junior Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Junior Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Junior Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Junior Eurovision (https://junioreurovision.tv/), including live footage of Junior Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolution source: https://junioreurovision.tv/
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.