Knoww
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
The Field
5 of 23§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Rafael López Aliaga as the leading outcome, at a 92% probability across 49 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 2 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $508.26K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 5, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Rafael López Aliaga (92%)
- Volume
- $508.26K
- Liquidity
- $362.26K
- Resolution date
- October 5, 2026
- Outcomes
- 49
- Last updated
- October 8, 2026
Rules and resolution
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolution source: https://jne.gob.pe
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.