Knoww
Maduro out by...?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. March 31, 2026 was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $56.62M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- March 31, 2026 (100%)
- Volume
- $56.62M
- Resolution date
- March 31, 2026
- Outcomes
- 6
- Last updated
- July 5, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuela's president, Nicolás Maduro, is removed from power for any length of time between January 1, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Nicolás Maduro will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Venezuela within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.