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Miles Morales live-action film actor?
The Field
5 of 6§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see No actor chosen by end of 2027 as the leading outcome, at a 84% probability across 33 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 1 percentage point. The market has traded approximately $18.23K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- No actor chosen by end of 2027 (84%)
- Volume
- $18.23K
- Liquidity
- $2.78K
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2028
- Outcomes
- 33
- Last updated
- October 24, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify. Only live-action feature film castings will qualify. If more than one actor is announced to portray Miles Morales in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify. Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify. If no actor is announced as the live-action Miles Morales within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No actor chosen by end of 2027". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sony Pictures, Marvel, their parent companies, or another authorized representative of the Spider-Man franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.