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MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
The Field
5 of 28§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Lionel Messi as the leading outcome, at a 95% probability across 59 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $977.18K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 22, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Lionel Messi (95%)
- Volume
- $977.18K
- Liquidity
- $67.80K
- Resolution date
- November 22, 2026
- Outcomes
- 59
- Last updated
- October 16, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.