Markets/Politics/Next Chancellor of Germany?
Next Chancellor of Germany?

Next Chancellor of Germany?

$40.89MVolFeb 2316 mkts0 open · 7 closedNeg Risk

§ Market context

About this market

This market is resolved. Friedrich Merz (CDU) was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $40.89M in total volume.

Status
Resolved
Final outcome
Friedrich Merz (CDU) (100%)
Volume
$40.89M
Resolution date
February 23, 2025
Outcomes
16
Last updated
May 8, 2025

Rules and resolution

This is a market on predicting the next Chancellor of Germany.

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.