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Next James Bond actor?
The Field
5 of 24§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Jack Lowden as the leading outcome, at a 38% probability across 49 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 5 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $984.99K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Jack Lowden (38%)
- Volume
- $984.99K
- Liquidity
- $197.96K
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 49
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.