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Next Premier of British Columbia
The Field
5 of 6§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Lorne Doerkson as the leading outcome, at a 80% probability across 33 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 1 percentage point. The market has traded approximately $165.81K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 24, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Lorne Doerkson (80%)
- Volume
- $165.81K
- Liquidity
- $335.18K
- Resolution date
- October 24, 2026
- Outcomes
- 33
- Last updated
- October 16, 2026
Rules and resolution
The 2026 British Columbia general election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of British Columbia as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of British Columbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.