Markets/Elections/Next Premier of Quebec
Next Premier of Quebec

Next Premier of Quebec

$422.98KVolOct 529 mkts0 open · 7 closedNeg Risk

§ Market context

About this market

This market is resolved. Paul St-Pierre Plamondon was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $422.98K in total volume.

Status
Resolved
Final outcome
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon (100%)
Volume
$422.98K
Resolution date
October 6, 2026
Outcomes
29
Last updated
October 21, 2026

Rules and resolution

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.