Knoww
Next Premier of Quebec
The Field
5 of 7§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the leading outcome, at a >99% probability across 29 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $406.06K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 6, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Paul St-Pierre Plamondon (>99%)
- Volume
- $406.06K
- Liquidity
- $103.49K
- Resolution date
- October 6, 2026
- Outcomes
- 29
- Last updated
- October 8, 2026
Rules and resolution
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.