
Next Premier of Quebec
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Paul St-Pierre Plamondon was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $422.98K in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Paul St-Pierre Plamondon (100%)
- Volume
- $422.98K
- Resolution date
- October 6, 2026
- Outcomes
- 29
- Last updated
- October 21, 2026
Rules and resolution
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.