Knoww
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Abiy Ahmed was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $286.14M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Abiy Ahmed (100%)
- Volume
- $286.14M
- Resolution date
- June 2, 2026
- Outcomes
- 33
- Last updated
- October 7, 2026
Rules and resolution
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.