Knoww
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
The Field
5 of 10§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Aleksandar Vučić as the leading outcome, at a 67% probability across 53 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 2 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $924.40K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 25, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Aleksandar Vučić (67%)
- Volume
- $924.40K
- Liquidity
- $590.64K
- Resolution date
- October 25, 2026
- Outcomes
- 53
- Last updated
- October 8, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.