Knoww
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
The Field
5 of 16§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Alberto Núñez Feijóo as the leading outcome, at a 81% probability across 58 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 1 percentage point. The market has traded approximately $2.09M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by April 1, 2028.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Alberto Núñez Feijóo (81%)
- Volume
- $2.09M
- Liquidity
- $1.29M
- Resolution date
- April 1, 2028
- Outcomes
- 58
- Last updated
- October 24, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.