Markets/Politics/Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

$1.84MVolAug 2258 mkts10 months leftNeg Risk

The Field

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§ Market context

About this market

Traders currently see Alberto Núñez Feijóo as the leading outcome, at a 82% probability across 58 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $1.84M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by April 1, 2028.

Status
Live trading
Leading outcome
Alberto Núñez Feijóo (82%)
Volume
$1.84M
Liquidity
$1.46M
Resolution date
April 1, 2028
Outcomes
58
Last updated
October 14, 2026

Rules and resolution

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.