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Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations
The Field
5 of 29§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Christopher Nolan as the leading outcome, at a 97% probability across 29 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 7 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $29.72K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by March 15, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Christopher Nolan (97%)
- Volume
- $29.72K
- Liquidity
- $25.19K
- Resolution date
- March 15, 2027
- Outcomes
- 29
- Last updated
- October 24, 2026
Rules and resolution
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed director is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.