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Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
The Field
3§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see January 31, 2027 as the leading outcome, at a 66% probability across 4 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 6 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $864.53K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by February 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- January 31, 2027 (66%)
- Volume
- $864.53K
- Liquidity
- $88.27K
- Resolution date
- February 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 4
- Last updated
- October 17, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of Spain within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.