Markets/Politics/Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

Pennsylvania Margin of Victory

$192.92MVolNov 512 mkts0 open · 12 closedNeg Risk

§ Market context

About this market

This market is resolved. Trump by 1.5-2.0% was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $192.92M in total volume.

Status
Resolved
Final outcome
Trump by 1.5-2.0% (100%)
Volume
$192.92M
Resolution date
November 5, 2024
Outcomes
12
Last updated
January 20, 2026

Rules and resolution

This is a market on predicting the vote margin for the Pennsylvania presidential election.

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.