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Poland Presidential Election
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Karol Nawrocki was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $128.97M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Karol Nawrocki (100%)
- Volume
- $128.97M
- Resolution date
- May 18, 2025
- Outcomes
- 19
- Last updated
- June 3, 2025
Rules and resolution
This is a market group over who will be elected the next President of Poland.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.