Markets/Politics/Popular Vote Winner 2024
Popular Vote Winner 2024

Popular Vote Winner 2024

$628.16MVolNov 417 mkts0 open · 17 closedNeg Risk

§ Market context

About this market

This market is resolved. Donald Trump was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $628.16M in total volume.

Status
Resolved
Final outcome
Donald Trump (100%)
Volume
$628.16M
Resolution date
November 5, 2024
Outcomes
17
Last updated
July 13, 2026

Rules and resolution

This is a market on predicting the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election.

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.