Markets/Politics/Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

$127.58KVolOct 2626 mkts12h leftNeg Risk

The Field

5 of 9

§ Market context

About this market

Traders currently see Allyson as the leading outcome, at a 76% probability across 26 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 12 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $127.58K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 5, 2026.

Status
Live trading
Leading outcome
Allyson (76%)
Volume
$127.58K
Liquidity
$230.15K
Resolution date
October 5, 2026
Outcomes
26
Last updated
October 25, 2026

Rules and resolution

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Resolution source: https://www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.