Knoww
Romania Presidential Election Winner
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Nicușor Dan was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $234.27M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Nicușor Dan (100%)
- Volume
- $234.27M
- Resolution date
- December 31, 2025
- Outcomes
- 25
- Last updated
- March 28, 2026
Rules and resolution
The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. On January 16, Romania's coalition government approved a re-run of the presidential election. It is scheduled for May 4, with a second round on May 18, if no candidate receives an absolute majority of the vote (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/romania-confirms-date-tightens-rules-presidential-election-rerun-2025-01-16/). This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Romanian presidential election including any potential second round. This market is inclusive of any election which results in the election of the next Romanian President. For example, if Romania decides to recertify the results of the November 2024 election, this market would resolve accordingly. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.