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Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
The Field
2§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see October 31 as the leading outcome, at a 96% probability across 6 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 7 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $894.16K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- October 31 (96%)
- Volume
- $894.16K
- Liquidity
- $56.27K
- Resolution date
- November 1, 2026
- Outcomes
- 6
- Last updated
- October 17, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.