Knoww
Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Dan 6–12% was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $34.33M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Dan 6–12% (100%)
- Volume
- $34.33M
- Resolution date
- May 18, 2025
- Outcomes
- 8
- Last updated
- May 22, 2025
Rules and resolution
The runoff for the Romanian presidential election is scheduled for May 18, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Romanian Presidential Election runoff. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Romanian Presidential Election runoff. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the votes count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, or if the runoff is permanently canceled, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.