
São Paulo mayoral election 2024
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Ricardo Nunes (MDB) was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $41.58M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Ricardo Nunes (MDB) (100%)
- Volume
- $41.58M
- Resolution date
- October 6, 2024
- Outcomes
- 7
- Last updated
- October 29, 2024
Rules and resolution
This is a negrisk market group over which candidate will win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election, scheduled for October 6, 2024. If required, a runoff will be held on October 27, 2024.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.