Markets/Finance/What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

$419.17KVolDec 3119 mkts2 months left14 open · 5 closed

The Field

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§ Market context

About this market

Traders currently see ↓ $7,400 as the leading outcome, at a 62% probability across 19 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 22 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $419.17K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Status
Live trading
Leading outcome
↓ $7,400 (62%)
Volume
$419.17K
Liquidity
$179.69K
Resolution date
December 31, 2026
Outcomes
19
Last updated
October 15, 2026

Rules and resolution

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?

Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.