Knoww
Starmer out by...?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. July 31 was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $38.23M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- July 31 (100%)
- Volume
- $38.23M
- Resolution date
- July 31, 2026
- Outcomes
- 19
- Last updated
- August 13, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.