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Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Ken Paxton was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $18.01M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Ken Paxton (100%)
- Volume
- $18.01M
- Resolution date
- May 26, 2026
- Outcomes
- 20
- Last updated
- August 13, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.