Markets/Culture/TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

$119.65MVolJan 101 mkt0 open · 1 closed

§ Market context

About this market

This market is resolved. Yes was the final outcome after closing at a 100% probability. The market traded approximately $119.65M in total volume.

Status
Resolved
Final outcome
Yes (100%)
Volume
$119.65M
Resolution date
April 30, 2025
Last updated
April 8, 2026

Rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the TikTok app is banned for download and/or use by the majority of Americans in the United States by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", a ban mandated by US federal law, policy, or the court system must have gone into effect (as defined above) within the above-stated timeframe. If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.