
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 28?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. DeepSeek was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $16.73K in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- DeepSeek (100%)
- Volume
- $16.73K
- Resolution date
- October 6, 2026
- Outcomes
- 15
- Last updated
- October 6, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 28 to October 4, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 28 to October 4, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 28 to October 4, 2026 once the figures for the week of October 5, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 5, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 9, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 28 to October 4, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 28 to October 4, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Resolution source: https://openrouter.ai/rankings
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.