Knoww
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
The Field
5 of 8§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Olivia Chow as the leading outcome, at a 76% probability across 36 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 4 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $419.83K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 27, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Olivia Chow (76%)
- Volume
- $419.83K
- Liquidity
- $555.46K
- Resolution date
- October 27, 2026
- Outcomes
- 36
- Last updated
- October 17, 2026
Rules and resolution
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.