Knoww
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. June 30 was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $44.72M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- June 30 (100%)
- Volume
- $44.72M
- Resolution date
- June 30, 2026
- Outcomes
- 12
- Last updated
- August 13, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.