Markets/Politics/Trump meets with Putin by...?
Trump meets with Putin by...?

Trump meets with Putin by...?

$406.34KVolJan 15 mkts2 months left3 open · 2 closed

The Field

3

§ Market context

About this market

Traders currently see December 31 as the leading outcome, at a 82% probability across 5 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 2 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $406.34K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Status
Live trading
Leading outcome
December 31 (82%)
Volume
$406.34K
Liquidity
$54.43K
Resolution date
January 1, 2027
Outcomes
5
Last updated
October 18, 2026

Rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.