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Trump names AI "czar" by...?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. October 4 was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $69.80K in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- October 4 (100%)
- Volume
- $69.80K
- Resolution date
- October 5, 2026
- Outcomes
- 5
- Last updated
- October 6, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces his pick to be AI czar by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to appoint a specific individual as AI czar will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal appointment actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the AI czar or future AI czar. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. An announcement will qualify regardless of the name used to refer to AI, including "super intelligence" (SI). However, the person must be announced as the "czar" or a derivative thereof. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.