Knoww
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
§ Market context
About this market
Trading on this market has ended, but settlement is still pending. June 30 finished as the leading outcome at a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $58.29M in total volume.
- Status
- Trading closed
- Final leading outcome
- June 30 (100%)
- Volume
- $58.29M
- Resolution date
- May 15, 2026
- Outcomes
- 35
- Last updated
- August 13, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading has ended, so the figures above reflect the final trading state while settlement remains pending. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.