Markets/Politics/What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$1.34MVolJan 16 mkts2 months left

The Field

5 of 6

§ Market context

About this market

Traders currently see Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) as the leading outcome, at a 14% probability across 6 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $1.34M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Status
Live trading
Leading outcome
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) (14%)
Volume
$1.34M
Liquidity
$286.49K
Resolution date
January 1, 2027
Outcomes
6
Last updated
October 23, 2026

Rules and resolution

Rules

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

Related markets

Browse all politics prediction markets

Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.