Markets/Politics/What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$1.31MVolJan 16 mkts2 months left

The Field

5 of 6

§ Market context

About this market

Traders currently see Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) as the leading outcome, at a 14% probability across 6 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $1.31M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Status
Live trading
Leading outcome
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) (14%)
Volume
$1.31M
Liquidity
$246.80K
Resolution date
January 1, 2027
Outcomes
6
Last updated
October 16, 2026

Rules and resolution

Rules

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.