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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
The Field
5 of 6§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Why Did I Get Married Again? as the leading outcome, at a 98% probability across 10 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 63 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $19.84K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by September 22, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Why Did I Get Married Again? (98%)
- Volume
- $19.84K
- Liquidity
- $12.61K
- Resolution date
- September 22, 2026
- Outcomes
- 10
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 22, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.