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What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
The Field
5 of 23§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see NATO as the leading outcome, at a 89% probability across 23 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 11 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $72.62K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by September 22, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- NATO (89%)
- Volume
- $72.62K
- Liquidity
- $34.99K
- Resolution date
- September 22, 2026
- Outcomes
- 23
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
Donald Trump is scheduled to speak during the United Nations General Assembly on September 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the United Nations General Assembly on September 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.