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What will Trump say this week? (September 21 - September 27)
The Field
5 of 14§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Elon / Musk as the leading outcome, at a 81% probability across 14 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 2 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $6.25K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by September 27, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Elon / Musk (81%)
- Volume
- $6.25K
- Liquidity
- $716
- Resolution date
- September 27, 2026
- Outcomes
- 14
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.