
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
The Field
5 of 19§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Denver, CO as the leading outcome, at a 93% probability across 21 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 3 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $75.94K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Denver, CO (93%)
- Volume
- $75.94K
- Liquidity
- $39.65K
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 21
- Last updated
- October 15, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://waymo.com/rides/c
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.