Knoww
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
The Field
4§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Avengers: Doomsday as the leading outcome, at a 57% probability across 36 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 7 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $200.95K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by February 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Avengers: Doomsday (57%)
- Volume
- $200.95K
- Liquidity
- $63.09K
- Resolution date
- February 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 36
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.