Markets/Politics/Which party holds the most seats after Argentina Deputies Election?
Which party holds the most seats after Argentina Deputies Election?

Which party holds the most seats after Argentina Deputies Election?

$24.16MVolOct 2615 mkts0 open · 7 closedNeg Risk

§ Market context

About this market

This market is resolved. LLA (La Libertad Avanza) was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $24.16M in total volume.

Status
Resolved
Final outcome
LLA (La Libertad Avanza) (100%)
Volume
$24.16M
Resolution date
October 26, 2025
Outcomes
15
Last updated
December 11, 2025

Rules and resolution

The 2025 election for half of the seats in Argentina's Chamber of Deputies is scheduled to be held on October 26, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in Argentina's Chamber of Deputies as a result of the upcoming election. If voting in the next Argentine election for the Chamber of Deputies does not occur by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Argentina's government (e.g. via https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php).

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.