Markets/Politics/Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote?
Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

$83.19MVolNov 55 mkts0 open · 5 closedNeg Risk

§ Market context

About this market

This market is resolved. Republicans win both was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $83.19M in total volume.

Status
Resolved
Final outcome
Republicans win both (100%)
Volume
$83.19M
Resolution date
November 5, 2024
Outcomes
5
Last updated
October 23, 2026

Rules and resolution

This is a market on predicting which political party will win both the presidential election and the popular vote in the upcoming election.

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.