Knoww
Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?
The Field
5§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Michigan as the leading outcome, at a 98% probability across 14 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $28.21K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 3, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Michigan (98%)
- Volume
- $28.21K
- Liquidity
- $1.90K
- Resolution date
- November 3, 2026
- Outcomes
- 14
- Last updated
- October 24, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the listed US state between market creation and November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.