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Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
§ Market context
About this market
Trading on this market has ended, but settlement is still pending. Pete Hegseth finished as the leading outcome at a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $23.04M in total volume.
- Status
- Trading closed
- Final leading outcome
- Pete Hegseth (100%)
- Volume
- $23.04M
- Resolution date
- June 30, 2025
- Outcomes
- 23
- Last updated
- April 10, 2025
Rules and resolution
This is a market on the likelihood of confirmation for various nominees picked by Trump.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading has ended, so the figures above reflect the final trading state while settlement remains pending. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.