Knoww
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Kevin Warsh was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $64.45M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Kevin Warsh (100%)
- Volume
- $64.45M
- Resolution date
- October 31, 2026
- Outcomes
- 35
- Last updated
- August 13, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.