Knoww
Who will be the next Pope?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Robert Francis Prevost was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $30.14M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Robert Francis Prevost (100%)
- Volume
- $30.14M
- Resolution date
- December 31, 2025
- Outcomes
- 29
- Last updated
- May 10, 2025
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the name of the next person elected to be the bishop of Rome after Pope Francis. If no new pope is elected by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new Pope in 2025". If a person is elected to be the next bishop of Rome but declines the position, it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The market associated with a named person will not resolve to "Yes" or "No" until the next bishop of Rome is elected and accepts the Papacy. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.